Linear On MACDUnlocking the Magic of Linear Regression in TradingView
In the ever-evolving world of financial markets, traders and investors seek effective tools to gauge price movements, make informed decisions, and achieve their financial goals. One such tool that has proven its worth over time is linear regression, a mathematical concept that has found its way into technical analysis and trading strategies. In this blog post, we will explore the magic behind linear regression, delve into its history, and understand how it's widely used as a technical indicator.
The Birth of Linear Regression: From Mathematics to Trading
Linear regression is a statistical method that aims to model the relationship between two variables by fitting a linear equation to observed data. The formula for a linear regression line is typically expressed as y = a + bx, where y is the dependent variable, x is the independent variable, a is the intercept, and b is the slope.
While the roots of linear regression trace back to the field of statistics, it didn't take long for traders and investors to recognize its potential in the financial world. By applying linear regression to historical price data, traders can identify trends, assess the relationship between variables, and even predict potential future price levels.
The Linear On MACD Strategy
Let's take a closer look at a powerful example of how linear regression is employed in a trading strategy right within TradingView. The "Linear On MACD" strategy harnesses the potential of linear regression in conjunction with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. The goal of this strategy is to generate buy and sell signals based on the interactions between the predicted stock price and the MACD indicator.
Here's a breakdown of the strategy's components:
Calculation of Linear Regression: The strategy begins by calculating linear regression coefficients for the historical stock price based on volume. This helps predict potential future price levels.
Predicted Stock Price: The linear regression results are then used to plot the predicted stock price on the chart. This provides a visual representation of where the price could trend based on historical data.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy generates buy signals when certain conditions are met. These conditions include the predicted stock price being between the open and close prices, a rising MACD, and other factors that suggest a potential bullish trend. On the other hand, sell signals are generated based on MACD trends and predicted price levels.
Risk Management: The strategy also incorporates risk tolerance levels to determine entry and exit points. This ensures that traders take into account their risk appetite when making trading decisions.
Embracing the Magic of Linear Regression
As we explore the "Linear On MACD" strategy, we uncover the power of linear regression in aiding traders and investors. Linear regression, a mathematical marvel, seamlessly merges with technical analysis to provide insights into potential price movements. Its historical significance in statistics blends perfectly with the demands of modern financial markets.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious investor, the Linear On MACD strategy exemplifies how a robust mathematical concept can be harnessed to make informed trading decisions. By embracing the magic of linear regression, you're tapping into a tool that continues to evolve alongside the financial world it empowers.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this blog post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing carry risks, and it's important to conduct thorough research and consider seeking professional advice before making any trading decisions.
在腳本中搜尋"the strat"
Pivot Point SuperTrend Strategy +TrendFilterIn the dynamic world of financial markets, traders are always on the lookout for innovative strategies to identify trends and make timely trades. The "Pivot Point SuperTrend strategy +TrendFilter" has emerged as an intriguing approach, combining two popular indicators - Pivot Points and SuperTrend, while introducing an additional trend filter for added precision. This strategy draws inspiration from Lonesome TheBlue's "Pivot Point SuperTrend" script, aiming to provide traders with a reliable tool for trend following while minimizing false signals.
The Core Concept:
The strategy's foundation lies in the fusion of Pivot Points and SuperTrend indicators, and the addition of a robust trend filter. It begins by calculating Pivot Highs and Lows over a specified period, serving as crucial reference points for trend analysis. Through a weighted average calculation, these Pivot Points create a center line, refining the overall indicator.
Next, based on the center line and the Average True Range (ATR) with a user-defined Factor, upper and lower bands are generated. These bands adapt to market volatility, adding flexibility to the strategy. The heart of the "Pivot Point SuperTrend" strategy lies in accurately identifying the prevailing trend, with the indicator smoothly transitioning between bullish and bearish signals as the price interacts with the SuperTrend bands.
The additional trend filter introduced into the strategy further enhances its capabilities. This filter is based on a moving average, providing a dynamic assessment of the trend's strength and direction. By combining this trend filter with the original Pivot Point SuperTrend signals, the strategy aims to make more informed and reliable trading decisions.
Advantages of "Pivot Point SuperTrend" with Trend Filter:
1. Enhanced Precision: The incorporation of a trend filter improves the strategy's accuracy by confirming the overall trend direction before generating signals.
2. Trend Continuation: The integration of Pivot Points and SuperTrend, along with the trend filter, aims to prolong trades during strong market trends, potentially maximizing profit opportunities.
3. Reduced Whipsaws: The strategy's weighted average calculation, coupled with the trend filter, helps minimize false signals and reduces whipsaws during uncertain or sideways market conditions.
4. Support and Resistance Insights: The strategy continues to provide additional support and resistance levels based on the Pivot Points, offering valuable contextual information to traders.
Strategy - Relative Volume GainersStrategy - Relative Volume Gainers
Overview:
This trading strategy, called "Relative Volume Gainers," is designed for Long Entry opportunities in the stock market. The strategy aims to identify potential trading candidates based on specific technical conditions, including volume, price movements, and indicator alignments.
Strategy Rules:
The strategy is focused solely on Long Entry positions.
The volume for the current trading day must be greater than or equal to the volume of the previous day.
The percentage change in price must be greater than or equal to 2.5%.
The Last Traded Price (LTP) must be greater than or equal to the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200.
The Relative Volume for the current trading day (calculated over the last 30 days) must be greater than or equal to the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of Relative Volume over the same 30 days.
The current candle on the chart should be Green or Bullish, indicating positive price movement.
The price difference between bid and ask prices should be kept to a minimum.
It's recommended to also analyze market depth for better insights.
Strategy Requirements:
Add the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200 to your trading chart.
This strategy can be applied on charts of any timeframe.
For intraday trading, particularly for early entry, consider using a 1-minute timeframe.
It is advisable to create a screener to identify potential trades in real-time market conditions.
Risk Warning:
Stocks that meet the strategy criteria might exhibit high volatility and a high beta, making them inherently risky to trade. Exercise caution and adhere to predetermined risk management strategies.
Determine your trading quantity based on your entry price and stop loss in order to manage risk effectively.
Quantity Calculation Formula:
Quantity calculation is crucial to manage risk and position sizing. The following formulas can be used based on your trading scenario:
Quantity with Leverage:
Quantity = (((Using Capital / 100) * Risk Percent) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss)) * Leverage
Eg: Quantity = (((10000 / 100) * 0.2) / (405.5 - 398.5)) * 5
Quantity = 14
Risk = Rs.100 (Rs.100 is 1% of Rs.10000. So the risk is 1%, means we lose only Rs.100 when the SL is hit. If SL is increased the Quantity will get reduced to maintain a fixed risk of Rs.100)
Quantity without Leverage:
Quantity = (((Using Capital / 100) * Risk Percent) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss))
Note:
Always stay informed about market conditions and be prepared for potential rapid price movements when trading stocks that meet the strategy criteria. Strictly adhere to your predefined risk management strategy to safeguard your capital.
Good Mode RSI v2► Description:
"Good Mode RSI v2" is a powerful trading strategy designed to provide informed trading decisions. This script utilizes the popular RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator to identify potential buying and selling opportunities in the market. It goes beyond the traditional use of RSI by incorporating carefully selected parameters to enhance its effectiveness. The strategy stands out for its customized combination of RSI levels and stop-loss/take-profit thresholds, allowing for precise trade entries and exits while effectively managing risk.
► How to Use:
To utilize the "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy, follow these steps:
1. Apply the script to your desired trading instrument and timeframe in TradingView.
2. Monitor the chart for trade signals generated by the strategy.
3. When the RSI reaches the sell level of 96, a sell signal is generated. Consider placing a sell order to take advantage of potential downward price movements.
4. take-profit level at 60 to secure profits in a strong downtrend.
5. When the RSI drops below the buy level of 4, a buy signal is generated. Consider placing a buy order to enter the market at a favorable price.
6. take-profit level at 30 to secure profits in a strong uptrend.
7. Monitor the RSI indicator on the chart to stay updated on its current value and anticipate potential trade signals.
Please note that trading decisions should be made based on a comprehensive analysis of multiple factors, including market conditions, trend analysis, and risk management. The "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy can serve as a valuable tool in your trading journey, but it should be used in conjunction with your own research and analysis.
► About it:
The "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy is not a mere replication or slight modification of existing strategies or indicators. It has been carefully crafted to provide traders with an original and purposeful approach to trading using the RSI indicator. The strategy's unique configuration of RSI levels and stop-loss/take-profit thresholds allows for improved performance and profitability. Backtesting results have shown impressive metrics, including a gain factor of 2.445 and a compelling profitability of 78.07% during the testing period.
► Referrals:
If you have any questions or need further assistance with the "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy, feel free to ask. Good luck with your trading endeavors!
Crunchster's Turtle and Trend SystemThis is a combination of two popular systematic trading strategies - in the trend following category.
The strategy is designed for use on the daily timeframe. Specific features of this system are outlined below:
1. Two different strategies to choose from, "Trend" which is a volatility adjusted Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossover strategy and "Breakout" which is my adaptation of the well documented "Turtle Strategy"
2. Uses advanced position sizing and risk management, usually reserved for institutional portfolio management, a proven technique utilised by Commodity Trading Advisors and Managed Futures funds (Algo/Quant funds).
"Trend" uses a fast (user defined) and slow EMA crossover, where the slow length is 5 times the fast length. The resulting signal is adjusted for the volatility of returns over a 252 lookback period, which helps to normalise the signal across different assets. The system goes long or short when it detects a new trend has formed.
"Break" uses the highest high or lowest low over a user defined lookback period to define the recent range. This is converted into a price normalised signal to allow the system to detect when a breakout occurs. The system goes long or short based off the breakout signal.
Position sizing is based on recent price volatility and the user defined annualised risk target. In essence positions are inverse volatility weighted, so larger size is opened during lower volatility and smaller size during increased volatility. Recent volatility is calculated as the standard deviation of returns with 14 period lookback, then extrapolated into an annualised volatility of expected returns. Annualised recent volatility is then referenced to the risk target set by the user to adjust the position size. The default settings are a conservative 15% annual risk target/volatility. Initial capital should be set as the maximum risk capital per trade (ie if $10,000 total capital and 10% risk per trade, initial capital should be $1000). Maximum leverage per position can be set independently, to facilitate hitting risk targets that are greater than the natural volatility of the traded asset, and to accommodate low volatility conditions, whilst maintaining overall risk controls. Direction (long or short) is at the user's discretion.
Hard stop losses are based on multiples of the average true range of recent price (14 period lookback), user configurable.
Strategy trailing stops are based off recent highest highs or lowest lows (user defined lookback) to cut the position if the trend or momentum is lost.
Although both strategies can be run simultaneously, optimal diversification will be achieved if ran separately/individually to avoid masking of entries.
Buy&Sell Bullish Engulfing - The Quant Science🇺🇸
GENERAL OVERVIEW
Buy&Sell Bullish Engulfing - The Quant Science It is a Buy&Sell strategy based on the 'Bullish Engulfing' candlestick pattern. The main goal of the strategy is to achieve a consistent and sustainable return over time, with a manageable level of risk.
Bullish Engulfing
The template was developed at the top of the Indicator provided by TradingView called 'Engulfing - Bullish'.
ENTRY AND EXIT CRITERIA
Entry: A single long order is opened when the candlestick pattern is formed, and the percentage size of the order (%) is fixed by the trader through the user interface.
Exit: The long trade is closed on a percentage equity take profit-stop loss.
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🇮🇹
PANORAMICA GENERALE
Buy&Sell Bullish Engulfing - The Quant Science è una strategia Buy&Sell basata sul candlestick pattern 'Bullish Engulfing'. L'obiettivo principale della strategia è ottenere un ritorno costante e sostenibile nel tempo, con un livello gestibile di rischio.
Bullish Engulfing
Il template è stato sviluppato al top dell' Indicatore fornito da Trading View chiamato 'Engulfing - Bullish'.
CRITERI DI ENTRATA E USCITA
Entrata: viene aperto un singolo ordine long quando si forma il candlestick pattern, la size percentuale dell'ordine (%) viene selezionato tramite l'interfaccia utente dal trader.
Uscita: la chiusura della posizione avviene unicamente tramite un take profit-stop loss percentuale calcolato sul capitale.
D-Bot Alpha RSI Breakout StrategyHello dear Traders,
Here is a simple yet effective strategy to use, for best profit higher time frame, such as daily.
Structure of the code
The code defines inputs for SMA (simple moving average) length, RSI (relative strength index) length, RSI entry level, RSI stop loss level, and RSI take profit level. The default values of these variables can be customized as per the user's preferences.
The script calculates SMA and RSI based on the input parameters and the closing price of the asset.
Trading logic
This strategy allows the placement of a long position when:
The RSI crosses above the RSI entry level and
The close price is above the SMA value.
After entering a long position, it applies a trailing stop mechanism. The stop price is updated to the close price if the close price is lower than the last close price.
The script closes the long position when:
RSI falls below the stop loss level.
RSI reaches or exceeds the take profit level.
If the trailing stop is activated (once RSI reaches or exceeds the take profit level), the closing price falls below the trailing stop level.
Strengths
The strategy includes mechanisms for entering a position, taking profit, and stopping losses, which are fundamental aspects of a trading strategy.
It applies a trailing stop mechanism that allows to capture further gains if the price keeps increasing while protecting from losses if the price starts to decrease.
Weaknesses
This strategy only contemplates long positions. Depending on the market situation, the strategy may miss opportunities for short selling when the market is on a downward trend.
The choice of the fixed RSI entry, stop loss, and take profit levels may not be ideal for all market conditions or assets. It might benefit from a more adaptive mechanism that adjusts these levels according to market volatility or trend.
The strategy doesn't factor in trading costs (such as spread or commission), which could have a significant impact on the net profit, especially if the user is trading with a high frequency or in a low liquidity market.
How to trade with this strategy
Given these parameters and the strategy outlined by the code, the trader would enter a long position when the RSI crosses above the RSI entry level (default 34) and the closing price is above the SMA value (SMA calculated with default period of 200). The trader would exit the position when either the RSI falls below the RSI stop loss level (default 30), or RSI rises above the RSI take profit level (default 50), or when the trailing stop is hit.
Remember "The strategies I have prepared are entirely for educational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice. Support your trades using other tools. Wishing everyone profitable trades..."
9:22 5 MIN 15 MIN BANKNIFTY9:22 5 MIN 15 MIN BANKNIFTY Strategy with Additional Filters
The 9:22 5 MIN 15 MIN BANKNIFTY Strategy with Additional Filters is a trend-following strategy designed for trading the BANKNIFTY instrument on a 5-minute chart. It aims to capture potential price movements by generating buy and sell signals based on moving average crossovers, breakout confirmations, and additional filters.
Key Features:
Fast MA Length: 9
Slow MA Length: 22
ATR Length: 14
ATR Filter: 0.5
Trailing Stop Percentage: 1.5%
Pullback Threshold: 0.5
Minimum Candle Body Percentage: 0.5
Use Breakout Confirmation: Enabled
Additional Filters:
Volume Threshold: Set a minimum volume requirement for trades.
Trend Filter: Optionally enable a trend filter based on a higher timeframe moving average.
Momentum Filter: Optionally enable a momentum filter using the RSI indicator.
Support/Resistance Filter: Optionally enable a filter based on predefined support and resistance levels.
Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the fast moving average crosses above the slow moving average, with additional confirmation from breakout and volume criteria, along with optional trend, momentum, and support/resistance filters.
Sell Signal: A sell signal is generated when the fast moving average crosses below the slow moving average, with similar confirmation and filtering criteria as the buy signal.
Exit Strategy:
The strategy employs a trailing stop-loss mechanism based on a percentage of the average entry price. The stop-loss is dynamically adjusted to protect profits while allowing for potential upside.
Please note that this strategy should be thoroughly backtested and evaluated in different market conditions before applying it to live trading. It is also recommended to adjust the parameters and filters according to individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Feel free to customise and adapt the description as needed to suit your preferences and the specific details of your strategy.
Hobbiecode - Five Day Low RSI StrategyThis is a simple strategy that is working well on SPY but also well performing on Mini Futures SP500. The strategy is composed by the followin rules:
1. If today’s close is below yesterday’s five-day low, go long at the close.
2. Sell at the close when the two-day RSI closes above 50.
3. There is a time stop of five days if the sell criterium is not triggered.
If you backtest it on Mini Futures SP500 you will be able to track data from 1993. It is important to select D1 as timeframe.
Please share any comment or idea below.
Have a good trading,
Ramón.
Hobbiecode - SP500 IBS + HigherThis is a simple strategy that is working well on SPY but also well performing on Mini Futures SP500. The strategy is composed by the followin rules:
1. Today is Monday.
2. The close must be lower than the close on Friday.
3. The IBS must be below 0.5.
4. If 1-3 are true, then enter at the close.
5. Sell 5 trading days later (at the close).
If you backtest it on Mini Futures SP500 you will be able to track data from 1993. It is important to select D1 as timeframe.
Please share any comment or idea below.
Have a good trading,
Ramón.
VWAP Trendfollow Strategy [wbburgin]This is an experimental strategy that enters long when the instrument crosses over the upper standard deviation band of a VWAP and enters short when the instrument crosses below the bottom standard deviation band of the VWAP. I have added a trend filter as well, which stops entries that are opposite to the current trend of the VWAP. The trend filter will reduce total false breakouts, thus improving the % profitable while maintaining the overall returns of the strategy. Because this is a trend-following breakout strategy, the % profitable will typically be low but the average % return will be higher. As a rule, be sure to look at the average winning trade % compared to the average losing trade %, and compare that to the % profitable to judge the effectiveness of a strategy. Factor in fees and slippage as well.
This strategy appears to work better with the lower timeframes, and I was impressed with its results. It also appears to work on a wide range of asset classes. There isn't a stop loss or take profit built-in (other than the reversal signals, which close the current trade), so I would encourage you to expand on the strategy based on your own trading parameters.
You can toggle off the bar colors and the trend filter if you so desire.
Future updates to this script (or ideas of improving on it) might include a take profit level set at one standard deviation past the current level and a stop loss level set at one standard deviation closer to the vwap from the current level - or applying a multiple to the two based off of your reward/risk ratio.
About the strategy results below: this is with commissions of 0.5 % per trade.
Wyckoff Range StrategyThe Wyckoff Range Strategy is a trading strategy that aims to identify potential accumulation and distribution phases in the market using the principles of Wyckoff analysis. It also incorporates the detection of spring and upthrust patterns.
Here's a step-by-step explanation of how to use this strategy:
Understanding Accumulation and Distribution Phases:
Accumulation Phase: This is a period where smart money (large institutional traders) accumulates a particular asset at lower prices. It is characterized by a sideways or consolidating price action.
Distribution Phase: This is a period where smart money distributes or sells a particular asset at higher prices. It is also characterized by a sideways or consolidating price action.
Input Variables:
crossOverLength: This variable determines the length of the moving average crossover used to identify accumulation and distribution phases. You can adjust this value based on the market you are trading and the time frame you are analyzing.
stopPercentage: This variable determines the percentage used to calculate the stop loss level. It helps you define a predefined level at which you would exit a trade if the price moves against your position.
Strategy Conditions:
Enter Long: The strategy looks for a crossover of the close price above the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength and a crossover of the low price above the SMA of the low price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the start of an accumulation phase and a potential buying opportunity.
Exit Long: The strategy looks for a crossunder of the close price below the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength or a crossunder of the high price below the SMA of the high price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the end of an accumulation phase and a potential exit signal for long positions.
Enter Short: The strategy looks for a crossunder of the close price below the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength and a crossunder of the high price below the SMA of the high price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the start of a distribution phase and a potential selling opportunity.
Exit Short: The strategy looks for a crossover of the close price above the SMA of the close price with a length of crossOverLength or a crossover of the low price above the SMA of the low price with a length of 20. This combination suggests the end of a distribution phase and a potential exit signal for short positions.
Stop Loss:
The strategy sets a stop loss level for both long and short positions. The stop loss level is calculated based on the stopPercentage variable, which represents the percentage of the current close price. If the price reaches the stop loss level, the strategy will automatically exit the position.
Plotting Wyckoff Schematics:
The strategy plots different shapes on the chart to indicate the identified phases and patterns. Green and red labels indicate the accumulation and distribution phases, respectively. Blue triangles indicate spring patterns, and orange triangles indicate upthrust patterns.
To use this strategy, you can follow these steps:
Jim Forte — Anatomy of a Trading Range
robertbrain.com/Bull...+a+Trading+Range.pdf
SuperTrend Long Strategy +TrendFilterThis strategy aims to identify long (buy) opportunities in the market using the SuperTrend indicator. It utilizes the Average True Range (ATR) and a multiplier to determine the dynamic support levels for entering long positions. This presentation will provide an overview of the strategy's components, explain its usage, and highlight that it focuses on long trades.
Components of the Strategy:
1. ATR Period: This input determines the period used for calculating the Average True Range (ATR). A higher value may result in smoother trend lines but may lag behind recent price changes.
2. Source (src): This input determines the price source used for calculations, with "hl2" (the average of high and low prices) set as the default.
3. ATR Multiplier: This input specifies the multiplier applied to the ATR value to determine the distance of the support levels from the source.
4. Change ATR Calculation Method: This input allows toggling between two methods of ATR calculation: the default method using atr() or a simple moving average (SMA) of ATR values (sma(tr, Periods)).
5. Show Buy/Sell Signals: This input enables or disables the display of buy and sell signals on the chart.
6. Highlighter On/Off: This input controls whether highlighting of up and down trends is displayed on the chart.
7. Bar Coloring On/Off: This input determines whether the bars on the chart are colored based on the trend direction.
8. The "SuperTrend Long STRATEGY" has been enhanced by incorporating a trend filter. A moving average is used as the filter to confirm the prevailing trend before executing trades. This addition effectively reduces false signals and improves the strategy's reliability, all while maintaining its original name.
Strategy Logic:
1. The strategy calculates the upper (up) and lower (dn) trend lines based on the ATR value and the chosen multiplier.
2. The trend variable keeps track of the current trend, with 1 indicating an uptrend and -1 indicating a downtrend.
3. Buy and sell signals are generated based on the change in trend direction.
4. The strategy includes an optional highlighting feature that colors the chart background based on the current trend.
5. Additionally, the bar coloring feature colors the bars based on the direction of the last trend change.
Usage:
1. ATR Period and ATR Multiplier can be adjusted based on the desired sensitivity and risk tolerance.
2. Buy and sell signals can be displayed using the Show Buy/Sell Signals input, providing clear indications of entry and exit points.
3. The Highlighter On/Off input allows users to visually identify the prevailing trend by coloring the chart background.
4. The Bar Coloring On/Off input offers a quick visual reference for the most recent trend change.
Long Strategy:
The SuperTrend Long Strategy is specifically designed to identify long (buy) opportunities. It generates buy signals when the current trend changes from a downtrend to an uptrend, indicating a potential entry point for long positions. The strategy aims to capture upward price movements and maximize profits during bullish market conditions.
The SuperTrend Long Strategy provides traders with a systematic approach to identifying long trade opportunities. By leveraging the SuperTrend indicator and dynamic support levels, this strategy aims to generate buy signals in uptrending markets. Traders can customize the inputs and utilize the visual features to adapt the strategy to their specific trading preferences.
The modification adds a trend filter to the "SuperTrend Long STRATEGY" to improve its effectiveness. The trend filter uses a moving average to confirm the prevailing trend before taking trades. This addition helps filter out false signals and enhances the strategy's reliability without changing its name.
Adaptive Price Channel StrategyThis strategy is an adaptive price channel strategy based on the Average True Range (ATR) indicator and the Average Directional Index (ADX). It aims to identify sideways markets and trends in the price movements and make trades accordingly.
The strategy uses a length parameter for the ATR and ADX indicators, which determines the length of the calculation for these indicators. The strategy also uses an ATR multiplier, which is multiplied by the ATR to determine the upper and lower bounds of the price channel.
The first step of the strategy is to calculate the highest high (HH) and lowest low (LL) over the specified length. The ATR is also calculated over the same length. Then the strategy calculates the positive directional indicator (+DI) and negative directional indicator (-DI) based on the up and down moves in the price, and uses these to calculate the ADX.
If the ADX is less than 25, the market is considered to be in a sideways phase. In this case, if the price closes above the upper bound of the price channel (HH - ATR multiplier * ATR), the strategy enters a long position, and if the price closes below the lower bound of the price channel (LL + ATR multiplier * ATR), the strategy enters a short position.
If the ADX is greater than or equal to 25 and the +DI is greater than the -DI, the market is considered to be in a bullish phase. In this case, if the price closes above the upper bound of the price channel, the strategy enters a long position. If the ADX is greater than or equal to 25 and the +DI is less than the -DI, the market is considered to be in a bearish phase. In this case, if the price closes below the lower bound of the price channel, the strategy enters a short position.
The strategy exits a position after a certain number of bars have passed since the entry, as specified by the exit_length input.
In summary, this strategy attempts to trade in accordance with the prevailing market conditions by identifying sideways markets and trends and making trades based on price movements within a dynamically-adjusted price channel.
This strategy takes a read on the market and either takes a channel strategy or trades volatility based on current trend. Works well on 2, 3 ,4, 12 hour for BTC. It’s my first attempt and creating a strategy. I am very interested in constructive criticism. I will look into better risk management, maybe a trailing stop loss. Other suggestions welcome. This is my first attempt at a strategy.
Here are the settings I used.
Inputs
Length 20
Exit 10
ATR 3.2
Dates I picked when I got into Crypto
Properties
Capital 1000
Order size 2 Contracts
Pyramiding 1
Commission .05
Lorentzian Classification Strategy Based in the model of Machine learning: Lorentzian Classification by @jdehorty, you will be able to get into trending moves and get interesting entries in the market with this strategy. I also put some new features for better backtesting results!
Backtesting context: 2022-07-19 to 2023-04-14 of US500 1H by PEPPERSTONE. Commissions: 0.03% for each entry, 0.03% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 3 indicators are used:
Machine learning: Lorentzian Classification by @jdehorty
One Ema of 200 periods for identifying the trend
Supertrend indicator as a filter for some exits
Atr stop loss from Gatherio
Trade conditions:
For longs:
Close price is above 200 Ema
Lorentzian Classification indicates a buying signal
This gives us our long signal. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point), break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1 and take profit of 3:1 where half position will be closed. This will be showed as buy.
The other half will be closed when the model indicates a selling signal or Supertrend indicator gives a bearish signal. This will be showed as cl buy.
For shorts:
Close price is under 200 Ema
Lorentzian Classification indicates a selling signal
This gives us our short signal. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point), break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1 and take profit of 3:1 where half position will be closed. This will be showed as sell.
The other half will be closed when the model indicates a buying signal or Supertrend indicator gives a bullish signal. This will be showed as cl sell.
Risk management
To calculate the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss or last swing for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a buy signal at price of 4,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss or last swing is 3,900. You calculate the distance in percent between 4,000 and 3,900. In this case, that distance would be of 2.50%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(2,5%) = 1000usd. It means, you have to use 1000 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for applying compound interest.
> In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
> You can also choose a fixed amount, so you will have to activate fixed amount in risk management for trades and set the fixed amount for backtesting.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, a table of some stats from backtesting, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something or trying new values for other assets for backtesting.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital
I also added a function for backtesting if you had added or withdrawn money frequently:
Adding money: You can choose how often you want to add money (Monthly, yearly, daily or weekly). Then a fixed amount of money and activate or deactivate this function
Withdraw money: You can choose if you want to withdraw a fixed amount or a percentage of earnings. Then you can choose a fixed amount of money, the period of time and activate or deactivate this function. Also, the percentage of earnings if you choosed this option.
Some other assets where strategy has worked
BTCUSD 4H, 1D
ETHUSD 4H, 1D
BNBUSD 4H
SPX 1D
BANKNIFTY 4H, 15 min
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!. If you have problems loading the script reduce max bars back number in general settings
Strategies for trending markets use to have more looses than wins and it takes a long time to get profits, so do not forget to be patient and consistent !
Please, visit the post from @jdehorty called Machine Learning: Lorentzian Classification for a better understanding of his script!
Any support and boosts will be well received. If you have any question, do not doubt to ask!
Oliver Velez IndicatorOliver Velez is a well-known trader and educator who has developed multiple trading strategies. One of them is the 20-200sma strategy, which is a basic moving average crossover strategy. The strategy involves using two simple moving averages (SMAs) - a short-term SMA with a period of 20 and a long-term SMA with a period of 200 - on a 2-minute timeframe chart.
When the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it signals a potential bullish trend and traders may look for opportunities to enter a long position. Conversely, when the short-term SMA crosses below the long-term SMA, it signals a potential bearish trend and traders may look for opportunities to enter a short position.
Traders using this strategy may also look for additional confirmations, such as price action signals or other technical indicators, before entering or exiting a trade. It is important to note that no trading strategy can guarantee profits, and traders should always use risk management techniques to limit potential losses.
This script is an implementation of the 2 SMA's (can also choose other types of MA's), with Elephant Bar Indicator (EBI) and the Tail Bars Indicator in TradingView.
The Elephant Bar Indicator is a technical indicator used in trading to identify potential trend reversals in the market. It is named after the large size of the bullish or bearish candlestick that it represents. The Tail Bars Indicator is a pattern recognition technique that identifies candlestick patterns with long tails or wicks.
The script starts by defining the input parameters for both indicators. For the Elephant Bar Indicator, the user inputs the lookback period and the size multiplier. For the Tail Bars Indicator, the user inputs the tail ratio and opposite wick ratio.
Next, the script calculates the moving averages of the closing price over the defined short and long periods using the Moving Average function. The script then calculates the average candle size and volume over the lookback period.
The script then identifies the Elephant Bars and Tail Bars using the input parameters and additional conditions. For Elephant Bars, the script identifies bullish and bearish bars that meet certain criteria, such as a size greater than the average candle size and volume greater than the average volume.
For Tail Bars, the script identifies bullish and bearish bars that have long tails or wicks and meet certain criteria such as opposite wick size less than or equal to the tail size multiplied by the input opposite wick ratio.
Finally, the script plots the Elephant Bar and Tail Bar signals on the chart using different colors and shapes. The script also plots the moving averages and Keltner Channels to help traders identify potential trend reversals.
It is still under development, so please, if someone has ideas to add, more than welcome
Vigilant Asset Allocation G4 Backtesting EngineThis script was based off of an idea that @CubanEmissary had so the description and some of the code that @CubanEmissary built on TradingView was used.
Vigilant Asset Allocation G4 (VAA G4) is a dual-momentum based investment strategy that aggressively monitors the market and reallocates portfolio funds based on the relative momentums of user-defined risk assets and safety assets. It was created by Wouter Keller and JW Keuning, based on their paper "Breadth Momentum and Vigilant Asset Allocation." In contrast to traditional dual momentum strategies, VAA G4 monitors the market itself through the two asset types. When all risk assets have positive momentum, the portfolio is allocated entirely into the risk asset with the strongest momentum At any other time, the portfolio is allocated entirely into the safety asset with the strongest momentum. The combination of breadth momentum with a very defensive reallocation trigger results in a strategy which captures alpha consistently.
The Strategy Rules:
1. Calculate each asset's momentum score on each monthly close:
momentumScore = (12*(currentMonthlyClose/lastMonthlyClose))+(4*(currentMonthlyClose/thirdLastMonthlyClose))+(2*(currentMonthlyClose/sixthLastMonthlyClose))+(currentMonthlyClose/twelvethLastMonthlyClose)-19
2. If all risk asset momentums are positive, allocate entire portfolio to the risk asset with the strongest momentum.
3. If any risk asset's momentum is negative, allocate entire portfolio to the safety asset with the strongest momentum.
4. Reevaluate at the end of each month.
Caveats:
1. It seems like TradingView only has limited price data for these tickers that are listed in the strategy. So it is best to start the strategy when they all have ample data (~ June 2nd, 2008)
2. This backtesting engine is basic and doesn't account for slippage and trading fees. So I implemented a basic "trading fee" input that will subtract a trading fee whenever the strategy makes a trade at the end of the month.
3. It is assumed in this engine that the trades will be made the exact second a new monthly bar opens up.
4. MUST USE ON MONTHLY CHART. It is hard-coded to work on monthly chart, if you open it on a daily chart , the Sharpe, Sortino, & CAGR calculations might not be right as well as the momentum score
Strategy for UT Bot Alerts indicator Using the UT Bot alerts indicator by @QuantNomad, this strategy was designed for showing an example of how this indicator could be used, also, it has the goal to help some people from a group that use to use this indicator for their trading. Under any circumstance I recommend to use it without testing it before in real time.
Backtesting context: 2020-02-05 to 2023-02-25 of BTCUSD 4H by Tvc. Commissions: 0.03% for each entry, 0.03% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 3 indicators are used:
UT Bot Alerts indicator by Quantnomad
One Ema of 200 periods for indicate the trend
Atr stop loss from Gatherio
Trade conditions:
For longs:
Close price is higher than Atr from UT Bot
Ema from UT Bot cross over Atr from UT Bot.
This gives us our long signal. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point), break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 0.75:1 and take profit of 3:1 where half position will be closed. This will be showed as buy (open long position)
The other half will be closed when close price is lower than Atr and Ema from UT Bot cross under Atr. This will be showed as cl buy (close long position)
For shorts:
Close price is lower than Atr from UT Bot
Ema from UT Bot cross over Atr from UT Bot.
This gives us our short signal. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point), break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 0.75:1 and take profit of 3:1 where half position will be closed. This will be showed as sell (open short position)
The other half will be closed when close price is higher than Atr and Ema from UT Bot cross over Atr. This will be showed as cl sell (close short position)
Risk management
For calculate the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a long signal at price of 20,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 19,000. You calculate the distance in percent between 20,000 and 19,000. In this case, that distance would be of 5,0%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(5,0%) = 500usd. It means, you have to use 500 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for apply compound interest.
In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital
---> Do not forget to deactivate Trades on chart option in style settings for a cleaner look of the chart <---
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!
Strategies for trending markets use to have more looses than wins and it takes a long time to get profits, so do not forget to be patient and consistent !
---> The strategy can still be improved, you can change some parameters depending of the asset and timeframe like risk/reward for taking profits, for break even, also the main parameters of the UT Bot Alerts <----
Athena Momentum Squeeze - Short, Lean, and Mean This is a very profitable strategy focusing on 15 minute intervals on the Micro Nasdaq Futures contracts. CME_MINI:MNQH2023
As this contract only keeps positions for on average about an hour risk is managed. At a profit factor of 3.382 with a max drawdown of $123 from January 1st to February 15. Looking back to Dec 2019 still maintains a profit factor of 1.3.
See backtesting: www.screencast.com
2019 backtesting: www.screencast.com
Based on the classic Lazy Bear Oscillator Squeeze with a number of modifications from ADX, MAs and adding fibonacci levels.
We like keeping strategies simple yet powerful, no completely where you can't understand your own trades.
Our team is always modifying and improving the strategy. Always open to collaborating on improving as there is no perfect strategy. www.screencast.com
Strategy Myth-Busting #11 - TrendMagic+SqzMom+CDV - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 11th one is an automated version of the "Magic Trading Strategy : Most Profitable Indicator : 1 Minute Scalping Strategy Crypto" strategy from "Fx MENTOR US" who doesn't make any official claims but given the indicators he was using, it looked like on the surface that this might actually work. The strategy author uses this on the 1 minute and 3 minute timeframes on mostly FOREX and Heiken Ashi candles but as the title of his strategy indicates is designed for Crypto. So who knows..
To backtest this accurately and get a better picture we resolved the Heiken Ashi bars to standard candlesticks . Even so, I was unable to sustain any consistency in my results on either the 1 or 3 min time frames and both FOREX and Crypto. 10000% Busted.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Trend Magic by KivancOzbilgic
Squeeze Momentum by LazyBear
Cumulative Delta Volume by LonesomeTheBlue
Trend Magic consists of two main indicators to validate momentum and volatility. It uses an ATR like a trailing Stop to determine the overarching momentum and CCI as a means to validate volatility. Together these are used as the primary indicator in this strategy. When the CCI is above 0 this is confirmation of a volatility event is occurring with affirmation based upon current momentum (ATR).
The CCI volatility indicator gets confirmation by the the Cumulative Delta Volume indicator which calculates the difference between buying and selling pressure. Volume Delta is calculated by taking the difference of the volume that traded at the offer price and the volume that traded at the bid price. The more volume that is traded at the bid price, the more likely there is momentum in the market.
And lastly the Squeeze Momentum indicator which uses a combination of Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels and Momentum are used to again confirm momentum and volatility. During periods of low volatility, Bollinger bands narrow and trade inside Keltner channels. They can only contract so much before it can’t contain the energy it’s been building. When the Bollinger bands come back out, it explodes higher. When we see the histogram bar exploding into green above 0 that is a clear confirmation of increased momentum and volatile. The opposite (red) below 0 is true when there are low periods. This indicator is used as a means to really determine when there is premium selling plays going on leading to big directional movements again confirming the positive or negative momentum and volatility direction.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Trading Rules
1 - 3 min candles
FOREX or Crypto
Stop loss at swing high/low | 1.5 risk/ratio
Long Condition
Trend Magic line is Blue ( CCI is above 0) and above the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is green/lime
Cumulative Delta Volume line is green
Short Condition
Trend Magic line is Red ( CCI is below 0) and below the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is red/maroon
Cumulative Delta Volume line is peach
Strategy Myth-Busting #5 - POKI+GTREND+ADX - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our fifth one we are automating is one of the strategies from "The Best 3 Buy And Sell Indicators on Tradingview + Confirmation Indicators ( The Golden Ones ))" from "Online Trading Signals (Scalping Channel)". No formal backtesting was done by them and resuructo messaged me asking if we could validate their claims.
Originally, we mimic verbatim the settings Online Trading Signals was using however weren't getting promising results. So before we stopped there we thought we might want to see if this could be improved on. So we adjusted the Renko Assignment modifier from ATR to Traditional and adjusted the value to be higher from 30 to 47. We also decided to try adding another signal confirmation to eliminate some of the ranged market conditions so we choose our favorite, ADX . Also, given we are using this on a higher time-frame we adjusted the G-Channel Trend detection source from close to OHLC4 to get better average price action indication and more accurate trend direction.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
poki buy and sell Take profit and stop loss by RafaelZioni
G-Channel Trend Detection by jaggedsoft
Trading Rules
15m - 4h timeframe. We saw best results at the recommended 1 hour timeframe.
Long Entry:
When POKI triggers a buy signal
When G-Channel Trend Detection is in an upward trend (Green)
ADX Is above 25
Short Entry:
When POKI triggers a sell signal
When G-Channel Trend Detection is in an downward trend (red)
ADX Is above 25
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Strategy Myth-Busting #4 - LSMA+HULL Crossover - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our fourth one we are automating is one of the strategies from "I Found The Best 1 Minute Scalping Strategy That Actually Works! ( Beginner Friendly )" from "Trade Domination" who claims to have made 366% profit on the 1 min chart of Solona despite having a 31% win rate in just a few weeks. As you can see from the backtest results below, I was unable to substantiate anything close to that that claim on the same symbol ( SOLUSD ), timeframe (1m) with identical instrument settings that "Trade Domination" was demonstrating with. Strategy Busted.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
LSMA
Hull Suite by InSilico
Trading Rules
1 min candles
Stop Loss on recent swing High/Low
1:5 Risk Ratio
Enter Long
LSMA cross above Red Hull Suite line
Price has to be above Hull Suite Line
Enter Short
LSMA crosses under green Hull Suite Line
Price has to be below Hull Suite Line
Replica of TradingView's Backtesting Engine with ArraysHello everyone,
Here is a perfectly replicated TradingView backtesting engine condensed into a single library function calculated with arrays. It includes TradingView's calculations for Net profit, Total Trades, Percent of Trades Profitable, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown (absolute and percent), and Average Trade (absolute and percent). Here's how TradingView defines each aspect of its backtesting system:
Net Profit: The overall profit or loss achieved.
Total Trades: The total number of closed trades, winning and losing.
Percent Profitable: The percentage of winning trades, the number of winning trades divided by the total number of closed trades.
Profit Factor: The amount of money the strategy made for every unit of money it lost, gross profits divided by gross losses.
Max Drawdown: The greatest loss drawdown, i.e., the greatest possible loss the strategy had compared to its highest profits.
Average Trade: The sum of money gained or lost by the average trade, Net Profit divided by the overall number of closed trades.
Here's how each variable is defined in the library function:
_backtest(bool _enter, bool _exit, float _startQty, float _tradeQty)
bool _enter: When the strategy should enter a trade (entry condition)
bool _exit: When the strategy should exit a trade (exit condition)
float _startQty: The starting capital in the account (for BTCUSD, it is the amount of USD the account starts with)
float _tradeQty: The amount of capital traded (if set to 1000 on BTCUSD, it will trade 1000 USD on each trade)
Currently, this library only works with long strategies, and I've included a commented out section under DEMO STRATEGY where you can replicate my results with TradingView's backtesting engine. There's tons I could do with this beyond what is shown, but this was a project I worked on back in June of 2022 before getting burned out. Feel free to comment with any suggestions or bugs, and I'll try to add or fix them all soon. Here's my list of thing to add to the library currently (may not all be added):
Add commission calculations.
Add support for shorting
Add a graph that resembles TradingView's overview graph.
Clean and optimize code.
Clean up in a way that makes it easy to add other TradingView calculations (such as Sharpe and Sortino ratio).
Separate all variables, so they become accessible outside of calculations (such as gross profit, gross loss, number of winning trades, number of losing trades, etc.).
Thanks for reading,
OztheWoz
